The New England Patriots will face the New York Jets in a crucial Week 17 matchup on December 28, 2023, at MetLife Stadium. This game holds significant implications as the Patriots can secure the AFC East title with a victory, provided the Buffalo Bills lose their game against the Philadelphia Eagles. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET, and the stakes are high for both teams.
Historically, the rivalry between the Patriots and Jets has been dominated by New England. Since 2016, the Jets have managed to win only twice, often falling short against legendary quarterback Tom Brady during his peak years. Now, Drake Maye steps into the spotlight, looking to change the narrative for New York.
Betting Odds and Predictions
According to DraftKings, the Patriots are favored by 13.5 points, with an over/under set at 42.5 points. New England has performed well against the spread this season, boasting a record of 10-5, and has gone over the total in 9 of 15 games. In contrast, the Jets stand at 7-8 against the spread, also hitting the over in 9 of 15 games.
The Patriots have recently shown offensive strength, hitting the over in their last three games. Conversely, the Jets have struggled, failing to cover the spread in their last three outings. For those considering prop bets, a popular option is a same-game parlay (SGP) that includes Hunter Henry scoring an anytime touchdown, alongside a prediction that Brady Cook will have fewer than 0.5 passing touchdowns.
Model Predictions and Insights
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, gives the Jets only a 25% chance of winning but suggests they provide value as underdogs. The Jets cover the large spread in 57% of simulations, and the total points over 42.5 hits in 53% of simulations.
Based on these simulations, the model predicts a score of Patriots 28, Jets 17. For those interested in more insights, the model offers comprehensive betting picks for every Week 17 NFL game, harnessing data-driven analysis to inform decisions.
As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be watching closely, not just for the outcome, but for the potential shift in the dynamic of this storied rivalry. The Patriots are poised for a significant achievement, while the Jets will strive to disrupt their plans.
